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Oliver Buchannon
Arvind

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #9: Selective Etching

Jul 1, 2026

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7 min read

The Chokepoint #9: Selective Etching

The 2nm bottleneck is somewhere else. One etch step, three suppliers.

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #8: Gas Turbines

Jun 24, 2026

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5 min read

The Chokepoint #8: Gas Turbines

Three companies make the world's big gas turbines. Two blade manufacturers decide how fast they can build them.

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #7: Optical Fibers

Jun 17, 2026

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5 min read

The Chokepoint #7: Optical Fibers

The AI fiber shortage is a glass-rod shortage and you can't make the rods on a GPU schedule.

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

Research

Primer: The Compute Conversion Gap

Jun 15, 2026

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9 min read

Primer: The Compute Conversion Gap

Why AI capacity is not the same as GPU shipments - 8 layers between wafer and live cluster.

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #6: Photonics Testing

Jun 10, 2026

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5 min read

The Chokepoint #6: Photonics Testing

AI's optical future depends on a test step only one company can run at scale

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

Research

Primer: The Memory Wall

Jun 5, 2026

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14 min read

Primer: The Memory Wall

Why memory defines what AI can do. A field guide to the four-tier hierarchy & the three companies that own it

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #5: Power Transformers

Jun 3, 2026

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5 min read

The Chokepoint #5: Power Transformers

America's AI grid runs through one Pennsylvania steel mill

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #4: ABF Substrates

May 27, 2026

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5 min read

The Chokepoint #4: ABF Substrates

No high-end processor ships without a film made by Ajinomoto.

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

Research

Thesis: CPUs, That Other Chip Shortage

May 25, 2026

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12 min read

Thesis: CPUs, That Other Chip Shortage

Agentic AI is pulling the CPU back to the center of the data center and the supply chain isn't ready.

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #3: Power Semis

May 19, 2026

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5 min read

The Chokepoint #3: Power Semis

Power semiconductors are the new chokepoint.

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #2: Photonics

May 12, 2026

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5 min read

The Chokepoint #2: Photonics

Where the rent flows when light becomes the chokepoint

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

Tessara

Daily signals on the AI infrastructure supply chain. What's tightening, what's breaking, and who's exposed. By Chain of Thought