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Dive into a collection of past posts and rediscover timeless content.

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #9: Selective Etching

Jul 1, 2026

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7 min read

The Chokepoint #9: Selective Etching

The 2nm bottleneck is somewhere else. One etch step, three suppliers.

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #8: Gas Turbines

Jun 24, 2026

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5 min read

The Chokepoint #8: Gas Turbines

Three companies make the world's big gas turbines. Two blade manufacturers decide how fast they can build them.

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

Research

Forecasting Micron from the Bottleneck

Jun 23, 2026

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5 min read

Forecasting Micron from the Bottleneck

A live test of Tessara’s constraint model for the AI buildout

Teng Yan
Teng Yan

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #7: Optical Fibers

Jun 17, 2026

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5 min read

The Chokepoint #7: Optical Fibers

The AI fiber shortage is a glass-rod shortage and you can't make the rods on a GPU schedule.

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

Research

Primer: The Compute Conversion Gap

Jun 15, 2026

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9 min read

Primer: The Compute Conversion Gap

Why AI capacity is not the same as GPU shipments - 8 layers between wafer and live cluster.

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #6: Photonics Testing

Jun 10, 2026

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5 min read

The Chokepoint #6: Photonics Testing

AI's optical future depends on a test step only one company can run at scale

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

Research

Primer: The Memory Wall

Jun 5, 2026

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14 min read

Primer: The Memory Wall

Why memory defines what AI can do. A field guide to the four-tier hierarchy & the three companies that own it

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #5: Power Transformers

Jun 3, 2026

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5 min read

The Chokepoint #5: Power Transformers

America's AI grid runs through one Pennsylvania steel mill

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1

The Chokepoint

The Chokepoint #4: ABF Substrates

May 27, 2026

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5 min read

The Chokepoint #4: ABF Substrates

No high-end processor ships without a film made by Ajinomoto.

Teng Yan
Arvind
Teng Yan, +1
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Tessara

Daily signals on the AI infrastructure supply chain. What's tightening, what's breaking, and who's exposed. By Chain of Thought